Tariffs push imports to peak, declines expected — ChainStoreAge.com

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Import cargo volumes at major U.S. container ports surged this summer as retailers stocked up before tariffs, but are forecast to steadily decline through the year’s end, according to the Global Port Tracker.

Key Takeaways

  • Tariffs drive front-loaded imports: Retailers rushed shipments early to avoid higher tariffs, pushing July to near-record volumes before declines set in.

  • Outlook shows steep drops: Forecasts project year-over-year import declines of nearly 20% by December, signaling weakened trade flow into early 2026.

  • Retailers face higher costs: Executives warn tariffs are straining supply chains and forcing price increases, complicating long-term planning amid policy unpredictability.

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